Thursday, August 4, 2016

The New Lending Rules that Have Developers Worried



These are notes I took on an interview regarding Basel III regulations and its impact on lenders and borrowers of construction financing;




High Volatility Commercial Real Estate (HVCRE) Loans – A designation primarily for construction loans provided by banks. Proposed Basel III regulations will require higher reserves for loans with a HVCRE designation. Another implication of the HVCRE is that internal returns generated by the project must be kept within the project. For instance, after completion of the asset but before stabilization of the asset, there will likely be a period of positive cash flow. This provision will have onerous tax consequences on REITs, which are required by their tax designation to distribute a substantial portion (approximately 90%) of their taxable income to shareholders. 

Additionally, Basel III regulations will a have dampening effect on IRRs which impacts how cash flow is distributed among investors, and may dissuade investors from taking on certain construction projects altogether.

A construction loan will avoid the HVCRE designation provided it meets the following criteria:


  1. 15% of the capital is contributed as unencumbered equity;
  2. Maximum of 65% LTV; and
  3. Keep capital contributed in the asset, including equity and NOI.

The new rules apply to loans new and old, however these regulations are still being negotiated.

Wednesday, March 9, 2016

Fitch Downgrades or Withdraws Ratings on Distressed Classes in 11 U.S. CMBS Transactions

Fitch Ratings has taken various rating actions on already distressed U.S. commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) bonds. Fitch downgraded 24 bonds in 10 transactions to 'D', as the bonds have incurred a principal write-down. The bonds were all previously rated 'CC' or 'C', which indicates that losses were considered probable or inevitable.

Fitch has also withdrawn the ratings on three classes in one transaction as a result of realized losses. The trust balances have been reduced to $0 or have experienced non-recoverable realized losses and are no longer considered by Fitch to be relevant to the agency's coverage.

KEY RATING DRIVERS

Today's downgrades are limited to just the bonds with write-downs. Any remaining bonds in these transactions have not been analyzed as part of this review. In cases where the last rated tranches of a transaction are in default and rated 'D', the defaulted ratings will be automatically withdrawn within 11 months of the date of the previous rating action.

A spreadsheet detailing Fitch's rating actions on the affected transactions is available at 'www.fitchratings.com' by performing a title search for: 'Fitch Downgrades or Withdraws Ratings on Distressed Classes in 11 U.S. CMBS Transactions', or by clicking on the link above.


RATING SENSITIVITIES


While the bonds that have defaulted are not expected to recover any material amount of lost principal in the future, there is a limited possibility this may happen. In this unlikely scenario, Fitch would further review the affected classes.

Tuesday, February 9, 2016

CMBS Loan Values Down in 2015 Due to Higher Rates

The price of the loans underlying commercial mortgage-backed securities declined 210 basis points during 2015, amid a broad rise in interest rates, according to DebtX.

The estimated price of the whole loans securing the CMBS universe was unchanged from November to December at 97.6%.

"CMBS loan prices dropped 210 basis points primarily due to a rise in interest rates across the yield curve and a widening of market spreads across all collateral types," Will Mercer, managing director of the Boston company, said in the release.

DebtX priced $900 billion of commercial real estate loans that collateralize U.S. CMBS trusts through the end of December, according to a Monday news release.

The median adjusted loan-to-value ratio increased to 58% in December, the median debt service coverage ratio increased to 1.47 and the median estimated loan yield rose to 4.6%.